Tuesday, July 14, 2009

Mid-Season Fantasy Review

Jesus most likely poking at one of his massive lips
Another season with the Giants 10 games above .500, another mid-season fantasy review.

Wait, what? Now that's a statement I can fux wit.

Here’s the link to my post-draft review. As per usual I stand by all my analysis. If you want to bring up some of my egregious errors (coughKRODcoughMauercoughfjiabnsu), that’s fine, but there’s plenty of impressive foresight in there, too. So suck my balls.
Below is a chart of what our league would look like if we did Rotisserie scoring. For all the nublets: if you have the most HRs in the league, you get 12 points, second most gets 11 pts, etc. It’s just a different and slightly more accurate way of evaluating how good one’s team is, especially when compared with head-to-head. It’s pretty interesting (the computer I'm using is awful so this might get screwed up):




The standings in rotisserie are surprisingly definitive; Trevor’s team is excellent, Kremer’s is great, RJ’s is good, Me, Mark, and Baxter’s are solid, and Harrison’s is fucking terrible. Then there are the rest of you in the ever-exciting competition of “The-Team-That’s-Just-Not-Quite-Terrible-Enough-To-Just-Not-Quite-Make-The-Playoffs”! Hoo-ray! Sorry, but I don’t think they make a trophy for that one. For what it’s worth, the TTTJNQTETJNQMTP-Award race is ridiculously close. I anticipate its result with general apathy and a relative lack of zeal. I was actually quite dismayed to find that young Paduan Hart is getting quite lucky, and really the only one truly benefitting from the head-to-head style (the column on the right hand side shows the variance between hypothetical rotisserie standings and the real-life H2H standings). You're battling for a playoff spot when you really have no right to be. Get your nose out of Baxter’s ass, you pervert. Other than that, the standings are relatively fair.
Some interesting observations:
-For the most part, steals and runs seem to correlate, except in the cases of ZMath and the Bubster, who's relative SB and R scores differ immensely.
-Quality starts seems to be a fair 6th category. One would assume that it would go hand-in-hand with wins, but by simply looking at it I can't see how it's any different than the correspondence between wins and ERA or WHIP
-John is first in quality starts but last in ERA and second to last in WHIP.
-My team is grossly underperforming offensively. Look out in the second half, baby!

For my next trick, I thought I’d see how much of an effect Albert Pujols has had on RJ’s fantasy team this season. There are 32 first basemen owned in the league, so I picked the median, Paul Konerko, and saw what would happen to RJ’s total stats and rankings if Terminator T-82394042 got injured for the season, the universe subsequently collapsed, and RJ had to replace him with just an average Joe. In lab report form:

Hypothesis: Pujols=amazing.

Data:

Analysis:
Result of replacing Pujols with Konerko, with respective drop in Rotisserie rankings:
- Lose 33 runs = 4th place to 8th place (-5 points)
- Lose 16 HR = 4th place to 7th place (- 4 points)
- Lose 27 RBI = 5th place to 10th place (-7 points)
- Lose 10 steals = 3rd to 4th place (-1 point)
- Lose 17 points total (99 to 82) = tied with Ilan for 6th place instead of sitting comfortably at 3rd
Calculating the difference in OPS and AVG over a total season would be too hard, but given that Pujols has 30 points in AVG and .310 in OPS on Konerko, it’s safe to say that RJ would be in 7th instead of sitting comfortably in 3rd (in a Rotisserie set-up).
Conclusion: Pujols=Yahweh.
I hope the inner-nerd in all of you enjoyed this. I don't think I'll ever write anything with so many numbers in it again in my life, but hey, like I said...I'm a guru. It's my duty to disseminate knowledge, and destroy ignorance.
Good luck to everyone for the rest of the season.
Oh, and I'm still pissed about the whole veto fiasco. Douchbags.

5 comments:

rjhal11 said...

Yeah Pujols! (pronouced Poo-jol-es, like a gringo)

No but seriously thank god we have playoffs so our league isn't a poor man's rotisserie league. The super No0basaurus 2 teh m3x (mark) almost fucked that one up as much as he fucked up setting up a coherent game of sloshball that didn't just disintegrate into boat races and people counting daisies in the grass. no0b!

And look for a big second half from granderson. Championship!

j.r.fisher said...

i am going to win the league.

HomelessNigg said...

I think I splooged my pantaloons when I saw that DB had made this midseason review. I fucking love these things. But damn, I thought I was getting unlucky. Actually, I do think I'm getting unlucky because all the pitchers who are supposed to be good are fucking terrible! Actually, I'm looking at the numbers and Webb is the only one who has really fucked me over. I guess I should stop complaining.

Also RJ, I too am glad that I was able to correct my mistake, but you misunderstood my question in the forums quite 'retardedly', if that's a word. I changed the playoffs to a 6-team playoff and asked if people liked those playoff settings. Of course, n00b RJ chimes in, "wut?!1? of course we have to have t3h pl@y0ffz! w3 c@nt juts n0t have t3h pl@yoffz!" I know we have to have playoffs you rook bitch. What I'm asking is whether they should be 6-team or some different setting. You n00badactyl!

Hartichoke said...

Mark, I told you to set the playoffs. Thus your quote "I know we have to have playoffs you rook bitch" does not seem to be true.

RJ our NFL draft needs to be done either offline or live when we're all home and we should do it in one location with tobacco, alcohol, and marijuana products. Not that we at dressarchie condone any of those activities.

And Michael, it's spelled padwan you rookie.

HomelessNigg said...

Good lord. What I mean by that quote is that I am aware of the fact that every legitimate head-to-head fantasy league must have playoffs. Until you alerted me, Alex, I was not aware that our current settings were such that there would be no playoffs.

Also, when do we usually do the fantasy draft? I'm going to be in Europe from August 17th on...is it possible to do autopicks at an offline draft?

Finally, I'm going to see Inter v. Club America today. Should be legit. Vamos Club America, vamooooooooooosssssss!!